Michelle Harner of Concurring Opinions writes about jinxes: that supposed Sports Illustrated cover jinx and a possible Time Magazine "Person of the Year" cover jinx.
Sports fans are probably familiar with Sports Illustrated’s cover jinx. As SI itself explains, “Millions of superstitious readers — and many athletes — believe that an appearance on Sports Illustrated’s cover is the kiss of death.” (The SI jinx timeline really is remarkable, see here.)
So, is the same type of jinx emerging with Time’s “Person of the Year” cover? Richard Nixon receives the honor (for a second time) in 1972, and the Watergate scandal breaks in 1973. Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama all receive the honor in the year they are elected President of the United States, and their approval ratings drop dramatically in the following, first year of their presidential terms. “You” receive the honor in 2006, and we all know what happens to the bank accounts of many of those honorees in 2007 and 2008. And now just a month after being named Time’s Person of the Year for 2009, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s confirmation is in question. (See here and here.)
So, is Mr. Bernanke in trouble because of his appearance on the cover? Or do his problems simply come around the same time as the appearance? Did he appear on the cover because he's of interest and do his problems also relate to the fact that he's of interest (under scrutiny)? I think the latter is more likely. People who make Time's cover are in the public eye (except for "You"). What happens to them, or what they do, good or bad, tends to make the headlines. I don't think we need to employ magic, jinxes, or luck to explain that.
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